NASCAR AT ATLANTA ODDS, PICKS 2019: MODEL SAYS CHASE ELLIOTT SURPRISES AT FOLDS OF HONOR QUIKTRIP 500

The 2019 NASCAR Program kicks into high gear Sunday Together with the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

The green flag falls at 2 p.m. ET for the 325-lap race along with defending champion Kevin Harvick is the 4-1 favorite in the most current 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 chances. Falling in just supporting him with 6-1 NASCAR at Atlanta chances are Joey Logano and Kyle Busch, who finished in the top four last week at the Daytona 500. Before you make your 2019 QuikTrip 500 selections and NASCAR in Atlanta predictions, make sure you have a look at the projected leaderboard from the proven computer version at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors such as track history and recent results into consideration.

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It made some huge calls in NASCAR this past year, such as nailing wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. And it is off to a solid start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a leading competition from the beginning. Anybody who has followed its selections is way, way up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic venues like Atlanta Motor Speedway are in his blood. His model simulated the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 a total of 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

For the 2019 QuikTrip 500 in Atlanta, we could inform you that the model is high on Chase Elliott, who makes a strong run in the checkered flag despite going off at 10-1 odds. Elliott doesn’t have a long history at Atlanta, but he has had success there at all three of his starts at the track since joining the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series. He’s finished within the top 10 in every one of these races and even got a top-five end in 2017.

Before joining NASCAR’s top circuit, Elliott had two top-five finishes at Atlanta at the NASCAR Xfinity Series. Elliott is a Georgia native and his father, Bill Elliott, won at NASCAR’s highest level at Atlanta Motor Speedway five times in his career, so it’s something of a house monitor for its 23-year-old. The model expects him to ride that advantage to the top of the leaderboard on Sunday.

Another shocker from the version: Kyle Busch, among the best Vegas favorites in 6-1, doesn’t even crack the top five.

The 2019 Daytona 500 runner-up began on the rod in this race a season ago, but wound up finishing in seventh position. The year prior, he had another fast ride in qualifying and started the race in third, but ended up in 16th.

Since his win at Atlanta in 2013, Busch has just run 56.7 percent of his laps inside the top 15. For his career, he’s finished outside the top 10 in 13 of his 20 career starts at Atlanta Motor Speedway. There are far better values in this affluent 2019 QuikTrip 500 lineup compared to the 6-1 premium you will need to pay for him.

The model can be targeting three other motorists with 2019 NASCAR at Atlanta odds of 10-1 or even longer to make a serious run at winning it all. Anybody who backs these shots could hit it big.

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