NASCAR AT ATLANTA ODDS, PICKS 2019: MODEL SAYS CHASE ELLIOTT SURPRISES AT FOLDS OF HONOR QUIKTRIP 500

The 2019 NASCAR schedule kicks into high gear Sunday with All the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

The green flag falls at two p.m. ET for the 325-lap race along with defending champion Kevin Harvick is the 4-1 favorite from the latest 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 chances. Falling in just behind him with 6-1 NASCAR in Atlanta chances are Joey Logano and Kyle Busch, who both finished in the top four last week at the Daytona 500. Before you make your 2019 QuikTrip 500 picks and NASCAR in Atlanta predictions, be sure to check out the projected leaderboard in the proven computer version at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track record and recent results into consideration.

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It made some huge calls in NASCAR this past year, such as nailing wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. And it is off to a solid start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a leading contender from the start. Anyone who has followed its picks is way, way up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic venues like Atlanta Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. Now his model mimicked the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 a total of 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For your 2019 QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta, we could inform you that the version is top on Chase Elliott, who makes a strong run in the checkered flag despite heading off at 10-1 odds. Elliott does not have a long history at Atlanta, but he has had success there in all three of his starts in the track since linking the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series. He’s finished within the top 10 in each of those races and even got a top-five end in 2017.

Before joining NASCAR’s top circuit, Elliott had two top-five endings at Atlanta in the NASCAR Xfinity Series. Elliott is a Georgia native and his father, Bill Elliott, won at NASCAR’s highest level at Atlanta Motor Speedway five occasions in his career, so it is something of a home monitor for its 23-year-old. The version anticipates him to ride that advantage to the top of the leaderboard on Sunday.

Another shocker in the model: Kyle Busch, one of the top Vegas favorites at 6-1, does not even crack the top five.

The 2019 Daytona 500 runner-up started on the pole in this race a year ago, but wound up finishing in seventh place. The year before, he had yet another quick ride in qualifying and began the race in third, but ended up in 16th.

Since his win at Atlanta in 2013, Busch has only run 56.7 percent of his laps inside the top 15. For his career, he has finished outside the top 10 in 13 of his 20 career starts at Atlanta Motor Speedway. There are far better values within this affluent 2019 QuikTrip 500 lineup than the 6-1 premium you’ll want to pay for him.

The version can be targeting three other motorists with 2019 NASCAR in Atlanta chances of 10-1 or even more time to make a serious run at winning it all. Anybody who backs these shots can hit it big.

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